All analyses
Verdict: Lottery Ticket. Rating 71 out of 100. Grade B.
Ai
AiOddsLab
Bet365
Lottery TicketBalancedB

Longshot — fun stake only

Detroit Diesel

Books don't post this exact combo, so we're flying blind. Long-shot territory either way.

Stake idea · Balanced
0.5u · Half
Reasonable spot — half a unit keeps it fun.
Your odds
+1100
Fair odds
+974
Edge
Price bump+14%
Ai

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Inside angles

Researching…
Pulling weather, lineups, head-to-head, and schedule spots…

Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.

AI breakdown

Verdict: This bet offers some real potential with a solid price edge on a fun parlay!

  • Market context: The sportsbook is offering a 14.3% higher price than their original line, which is great to see. We don't have individual leg fair odds, but the combined fair price comparison is strong.
  • Status: No notable injury signals for any of the players involved.
  • Social: the matchup insufficient data on Reddit to gauge public sentiment for this specific parlay.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, so multi-leg parlay variance is definitely in play here.

Smart insight: The performance of Kevin McGonigle getting 2+ total bases is likely the most impactful leg for this bet's overall expected value. Similar profile: the matchup same-game player prop parlays at plus money in MLB often see significant price fluctuations and can be volatile. Counter-case: The primary challenge here is getting three specific player props to hit in the same game, which always carries inherent variance. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.

Stake suggestion: the matchup

How this bet was graded

Grade B · 71/100 · Lottery Ticket

Detroit Diesel at +1100 on Bet365 (3 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+14.3%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.

Frequently asked questions

Why isn't an edge % shown?

We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.

Does the grade still mean something?

Yes. B (71/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.

Should I bet every A-grade ticket?

Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an B-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.