All analyses
47AiOddsLab
DCoin flip· Strong Value

Defense Wins

Grade D · Poor

About 8.7% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 47/100).

Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.

Solid Value 5-Leg Stack
Value
55

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
57

Compares to best alt book

Historical
62

Similar boosts performance

Safety
0

Higher = lower variance

Social
45

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
47/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value

Defense Wins

"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."

Your Odds
+900
Edge
+8.7%
Price Bump
+11%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "Defense Wins" (Bet365) 47/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/defense-wins-nd29xg

The numbers

Boosted odds+900
Original odds+800
Devigged fair+820
Implied probability10.0%
Fair probability10.9%
Boost % gained+11.1%
Expected ROI+8.70%
Edge vs fair+8.70%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Leg 1unmatched
Money Line - VGS Golden Knights
Leg 2unmatched
Carter Hart: 25+ Saves
Leg 3unmatched
Brayden McNabb: 2+ Blocked Shots
Leg 4unmatched
Noah Hanifin: 2+ Blocked Shots
Leg 5unmatched
Shea Theodore: 2+ Blocked Shots
Bet365 (boosted)+900
Combined fair (devigged)+820

Legs

  • 1.Money Line - VGS Golden Knights
  • 2.Carter Hart: 25+ Saves
  • 3.Brayden McNabb: 2+ Blocked Shots
  • 4.Noah Hanifin: 2+ Blocked Shots
  • 5.Shea Theodore: 2+ Blocked Shots

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers a slight edge over fair odds, driven by multi-leg parlay variance.

  • Value: The boost provides an 8.70% edge against the devigged fair odds of +820, making it a positive Expected Value play.
  • Market context: The boosted price of +900 is an improvement over the original +800, and is better than the calculated fair odds.
  • Status: There is no notable injury signal for any listed player.
  • Risk: This is a five-leg parlay, which inherently carries significant multi-leg parlay variance.
  • Recommendation: Small play.