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25AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special

DEFENSE WINS

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 25/100 with 5.0% off fair. Sportsbook special.

Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.

Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You 5-Leg Stack
Value
9

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
53

Compares to best alt book

Historical
57

Similar boosts performance

Safety
0

Higher = lower variance

Social
49

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
BetMGM
25/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special

DEFENSE WINS

"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."

Your Odds
+900
Edge
-5.0%
Price Bump
+14%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "DEFENSE WINS" (BetMGM) 25/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/defense-wins-gsgjrz

The numbers

Boosted odds+900
Original odds+775
Market consensus+775
Devigged fair+953
Implied probability10.0%
Fair probability9.5%
Boost % gained+14.3%
Expected ROI-5.03%
Edge vs fair-5.03%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/5 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Money Line - VGS Golden Knights
Leg 2unmatched
Carter Hart: 25+ Saves
Leg 3unmatched
Brayden McNabb: 2+ Blocked Shots
Leg 4unmatched
Noah Hanifin: 2+ Blocked Shots
Leg 5unmatched
Shea Theodore: 2+ Blocked Shots
BetMGM (boosted)+900
Combined consensus+775
Combined fair (devigged)+953

Legs

  • 1.Money Line - VGS Golden Knights
  • 2.Carter Hart: 25+ Saves
  • 3.Brayden McNabb: 2+ Blocked Shots
  • 4.Noah Hanifin: 2+ Blocked Shots
  • 5.Shea Theodore: 2+ Blocked Shots