All analyses
Verdict: Lottery Ticket. Rating 84 out of 100. Grade A+.
Ai
AiOddsLab
Bet365
Lottery TicketBalancedA+

Longshot — fun stake only

Crear apuesta SUPER AUMENTO

No market exists to compare this against, so the "edge" is a vibe. Fun stake if you love the angle.

Stake idea · Balanced
2u · Loud
Genuine value — comfortable going bigger here.
Your odds
+200
Fair odds
+104
Edge
Price bump+50%
Ai

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Inside angles

Researching…
Pulling weather, lineups, head-to-head, and schedule spots…

Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers significant value on three highly correlated United States props.

  • Market context: The boosted price of +200 is 50% better than the original +100 odds.
  • Status: the matchup is no notable injury signal.
  • Social: the matchup is insufficient data to assess the social pulse.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, carrying inherent multi-leg parlay variance despite the strong correlation.

Smart insight: The United States' ability to win and dominate shot metrics is highly interdependent, making the outcome of the match a critical driver of this bet's EV. Similar profile: This is a 3-leg parlay in soccer focusing on one team to win and lead in two shot-based statistics; such parlays typically resolve below perceived fair value due to strong correlation. Counter-case: The strong correlation between these three legs means if the United States does not win or perform well, all three legs are likely to fail simultaneously. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.

Recommendation: Standard

How this bet was graded

Grade A+ · 84/100 · Lottery Ticket

Crear apuesta SUPER AUMENTO at +200 on Bet365 (3 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+50.0%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.

Frequently asked questions

Why isn't an edge % shown?

We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.

Does the grade still mean something?

Yes. A+ (84/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.

Should I bet every A-grade ticket?

Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an A+-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.