All analyses
47AiOddsLab
DCoin flip· Market Neutral

CREAR APUESTA

Grade D · Poor

About 0.0% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 47/100).

Right around fair. You're paying about what the bet is worth — flip a coin on conviction.

4-Leg Stack
Value
50

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
56

Compares to best alt book

Historical
48

Similar boosts performance

Safety
25

Higher = lower variance

Social
52

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
47/100
COIN FLIPMarket Neutral

CREAR APUESTA

"Right around fair. You're paying about what the bet is worth — flip a coin on conviction."

Your Odds
+300
Edge
+0.0%
Price Bump
+0%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "CREAR APUESTA" (Bet365) 47/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/crear-apuesta-nlplxe

The numbers

Boosted odds+300
Implied probability25.0%
Fair probability25.0%
Boost % gained+0.0%
Expected ROI+0.00%
Edge vs fair+0.00%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Incomplete Market Context
Cannot calculate true EV due to unmatched custom prop legs. Standard book baseline applies. Edge frozen at 0.0%.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Spain to score in both halves
Leg 2unmatched
Spain - More than 19.5 shots
Leg 3unmatched
Fabian Ruiz - 1+ fouls committed
Leg 4unmatched
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots
Bet365 (boosted)+300

Legs

  • 1.Spain to score in both halves
  • 2.Spain - More than 19.5 shots
  • 3.Fabian Ruiz - 1+ fouls committed
  • 4.Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots