All analyses
49AiOddsLab
DCoin flip· Market Neutral

CREAR APUESTA

Grade D · Poor

About 0.0% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 49/100).

Right around fair. You're paying about what the bet is worth — flip a coin on conviction.

Value
50

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
55

Compares to best alt book

Historical
54

Similar boosts performance

Safety
29

Higher = lower variance

Social
55

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
49/100
COIN FLIPMarket Neutral

CREAR APUESTA

"Right around fair. You're paying about what the bet is worth — flip a coin on conviction."

Your Odds
+400
Edge
+0.0%
Price Bump
+0%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "CREAR APUESTA" (Bet365) 49/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/crear-apuesta-8qfg8p

The numbers

Boosted odds+400
Implied probability20.0%
Fair probability20.0%
Boost % gained+0.0%
Expected ROI+0.00%
Edge vs fair+0.00%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Incomplete Market Context
Cannot calculate true EV due to unmatched custom prop legs. Standard book baseline applies. Edge frozen at 0.0%.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Spain to win both halves
Leg 2unmatched
Mikel Oyarzabal - 1+ fouls committed
Leg 3unmatched
Ferran Torres: 2+ shots on target
Bet365 (boosted)+400

Legs

  • 1.Spain to win both halves
  • 2.Mikel Oyarzabal - 1+ fouls committed
  • 3.Ferran Torres: 2+ shots on target