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43AiOddsLab
DProbably skip· Overpriced

CREAR APUESTA

Grade D · Poor

About 0.0% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 43/100).

You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read.

10-Leg Stack
Value
50

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
53

Compares to best alt book

Historical
56

Similar boosts performance

Safety
0

Higher = lower variance

Social
50

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
43/100
PROBABLY SKIPOverpriced

CREAR APUESTA

"You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read."

Your Odds
+1400
Edge
+0.0%
Price Bump
+0%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "CREAR APUESTA" (Bet365) 43/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/crear-apuesta-2ywezq

The numbers

Boosted odds+1400
Implied probability6.7%
Fair probability6.7%
Boost % gained+0.0%
Expected ROI+0.00%
Edge vs fair+0.00%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Incomplete Market Context
Cannot calculate true EV due to unmatched custom prop legs. Standard book baseline applies. Edge frozen at 0.0%.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Spain to win both halves
Leg 2unmatched
Spain to score over 1 goal in 1st half
Leg 3unmatched
Total cards under 5
Leg 4unmatched
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots on target
Leg 5unmatched
Ferran Torres: 1+ shots on target
Leg 6unmatched
Alex Baena: 1+ shots on target
Leg 7unmatched
Ferran Torres: 3+ shots
Leg 8unmatched
Alex Baena: 2+ shots
Leg 9unmatched
Fabian Ruiz: 2+ shots
Leg 10unmatched
Pedri: 1+ fouls suffered
Bet365 (boosted)+1400

Legs

  • 1.Spain to win both halves
  • 2.Spain to score over 1 goal in 1st half
  • 3.Total cards under 5
  • 4.Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots on target
  • 5.Ferran Torres: 1+ shots on target
  • 6.Alex Baena: 1+ shots on target
  • 7.Ferran Torres: 3+ shots
  • 8.Alex Baena: 2+ shots
  • 9.Fabian Ruiz: 2+ shots
  • 10.Pedri: 1+ fouls suffered