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23AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special

CONN SMYTHE CHASE

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 23/100 with 6.1% off fair. Sportsbook special.

Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.

Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
6

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
45

Compares to best alt book

Historical
54

Similar boosts performance

Safety
6

Higher = lower variance

Social
58

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
23/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special

CONN SMYTHE CHASE

"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."

Boosted
+1200
Edge
-6.1%
Boost
+13%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "CONN SMYTHE CHASE" (Bet365) 23/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/conn-smythe-chase-scpese

The numbers

Boosted odds+1200
Original odds+1050
Market consensus+1050
Devigged fair+1284
Implied probability7.7%
Fair probability7.2%
Boost % gained+13.0%
Expected ROI-6.07%
Edge vs fair-6.07%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
CAR Hurricanes Money Line
Leg 2unmatched
Jordan Staal to Score a Goal
Leg 3unmatched
Jordan Staal: 2+ Points
Bet365 (boosted)+1200
Combined consensus+1050
Combined fair (devigged)+1284

Legs

  • 1.CAR Hurricanes Money Line
  • 2.Jordan Staal to Score a Goal
  • 3.Jordan Staal: 2+ Points