Price or risk doesn't justify it
Custom bet builder — books don't post a comparable line, and the legs almost certainly carry correlation juice you can't see. Skip unless this is a fun ticket.
Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.
Verdict: This three-leg parlay is a longshot bet with a negative expected value.
Smart insight: The outcome of the Colombia money line is likely the most impactful element determining the overall EV of this bet, given its influence over player shot opportunities. Similar profile: This is a 3-leg SGP combining money line and player props at relatively long odds in soccer. Similar profiles often show high hit-rate variance. Counter-case: The primary reason to fade is the negative expected value against devigged fair odds, indicating it's not a profitable long-term play. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.
Recommendation: Pass
Grade D · 52/100 · Better Off Passing
Colombia v DR Congo SGP with two player shots on target props and Colombia money line. at +1000 on Bet365 (3 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+15.8%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.
We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.
Yes. D (52/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.
Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an D-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.