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CCoin flip· Strong Value

Cardinal Rule

Grade C · Fair

Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 58/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.

Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.

Solid Value
Value
82

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
54

Compares to best alt book

Historical
44

Similar boosts performance

Safety
13

Higher = lower variance

Social
46

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
58/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value

Cardinal Rule

"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."

Your Odds
+550
Edge
+196.8%
Price Bump
+10%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "Cardinal Rule" (Bet365) 58/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/cardinal-rule-cv9h9x

The numbers

Boosted odds+550
Original odds+490
Market consensus+110
Devigged fair+119
Implied probability15.4%
Fair probability45.7%
Boost % gained+10.2%
Expected ROI+196.80%
Edge vs fair+196.80%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Leg 1fair +119
Money Line - STL Cardinals
consensus +110 · 11 books · h2h
Leg 2unmatched
Jordan Walker: 1+ Runs Batted In
Leg 3unmatched
Ivan Herrera: 1+ Runs
Bet365 (boosted)+550
Combined consensus+110
Combined fair (devigged)+119

Player status

From ESPN injury feed.

  • ACTIVE
    Jordan Walker

Legs

  • 1.Money Line - STL Cardinals
  • 2.Jordan Walker: 1+ Runs Batted In
  • 3.Ivan Herrera: 1+ Runs

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers significant theoretical value due to its strong edge against calculated fair odds, but multi-leg parlay variance is a factor.

  • Value: The boost price of +550 presents a substantial 196.80% edge compared to the devigged fair odds of +119, indicating strong mathematical value.
  • Market context: The boosted odds of +550 are significantly higher than the original odds of +490 and drastically exceed the combined market consensus of +110.
  • Status: Jordan Walker is active.
  • Risk: This is a three-leg parlay, inherently carrying multi-leg parlay variance.
  • Recommendation: Standard.