Canada to win, Jonathan David & Cyle Larin to each have 2+ shots on target in the Canada v Bosnia-Herzegovina match.
Grade C · Fair
Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 63/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.
Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.
Edge vs devigged fair price
Compares to best alt book
Similar boosts performance
Higher = lower variance
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Canada to win, Jonathan David & Cyle Larin to each have 2+ shots on target in the Canada v Bosnia-Herzegovina match.
"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."
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The numbers
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Legs
- 1.Canada to win
- 2.Jonathan David 2+ Shots on Target
- 3.Cyle Larin 2+ Shots on Target
AI breakdown
Verdict: This longshot three-leg parlay offers a slight mathematical edge over its estimated fair market value.
- Value: The boost presents a 5.95% positive expected value (+EV) when compared to the calculated fair odds of +1127, indicating a small statistical edge.
- Market context: The +1200 price is an 8.3% lift from the sportsbook's original +1100 odds and offers a marginal improvement over the devigged fair line.
- Status: No notable injury signal.
- Risk: The primary risk is multi-leg parlay variance. The props for Jonathan David and Cyle Larin to each record 2+ shots on target are challenging individual hurdles, contributing to the high +1200 price.
- Recommendation: Small.