Broadway Hits: Ben Rice, Ceddanne Rafaela, Paul Goldschmidt & Wilyer Abreu Each To Record 2+ Hits
Grade C · Fair
Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 64/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.
Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.
Edge vs devigged fair price
Compares to best alt book
Similar boosts performance
Higher = lower variance
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Broadway Hits: Ben Rice, Ceddanne Rafaela, Paul Goldschmidt & Wilyer Abreu Each To Record 2+ Hits
"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."
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The numbers
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Player status
From ESPN injury feed.
- ACTIVEBen Rice
- ACTIVECeddanne Rafaela
- ACTIVEPaul Goldschmidt
- ACTIVEWilyer Abreu
Legs
- 1.Ben Rice: 2+ Hits
- 2.Ceddanne Rafaela: 2+ Hits
- 3.Paul Goldschmidt: 2+ Hits
- 4.Wilyer Abreu: 2+ Hits
AI breakdown
Verdict: This longshot parlay offers substantial mathematical value over the calculated fair market price.
- Value: The boost holds a significant 20.02% positive expected value (EV), indicating a strong theoretical edge against the devigged consensus odds.
- Market context: The +8000 price provides a major lift from both the original +6500 odds and the estimated fair price of +6649.
- Status: No notable injury signal; all listed players are active.
- Risk: This is a high-variance, four-leg parlay. Each leg requires a player to achieve multiple hits, making it a very low-probability event despite the value.
- Recommendation: A small wager is appropriate due to the strong positive EV but very high-risk nature.