Price or risk doesn't justify it
SGP-shaped ticket with no apples-to-apples market. Almost always priced worse than the same legs straight — pass or rebuild it leg by leg.
Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.
Verdict: This three-leg soccer parlay on Canada and Dan Ndoye presents negative expected value.
Smart insight: The value of this bet is most sensitive to the accuracy of the implied probabilities for Dan the matchup shots and shots on target. Similar profile: This is a 3-leg SGP combining team totals and player props, a profile that usually shows higher variance. Counter-case: The significant negative edge and discrepancy between the offered price and devigged fair odds strongly suggest fading this bet. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.
Recommendation: Pass
Grade F · 30/100 · Better Off Passing
Bet Builder at +220 on FanDuel (3 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+0.0%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.
We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.
Yes. F (30/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.
Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an F-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.