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CCoin flip· Strong Value

All About That Base

Grade C · Fair

Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 60/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.

Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.

Solid Value
Value
81

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
51

Compares to best alt book

Historical
65

Similar boosts performance

Safety
13

Higher = lower variance

Social
42

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
60/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value

All About That Base

"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."

Your Odds
+900
Edge
+369.5%
Price Bump
+14%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "All About That Base" (Bet365) 60/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/all-about-that-base-pkb5y6

The numbers

Boosted odds+900
Original odds+775
Market consensus+105
Devigged fair+113
Implied probability10.0%
Fair probability46.9%
Boost % gained+14.3%
Expected ROI+369.48%
Edge vs fair+369.48%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Leg 1fair +113
Money Line - SD Padres
consensus +105 · 11 books · h2h
Leg 2unmatched
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+ Total Bases
Leg 3unmatched
Jackson Merrill: 2+ Total Bases
Bet365 (boosted)+900
Combined consensus+105
Combined fair (devigged)+113

Player status

From ESPN injury feed.

  • ACTIVE
    Fernando Tatis Jr. · San Diego Padres
  • ACTIVE
    Jackson Merrill · San Diego Padres

Legs

  • 1.Money Line - SD Padres
  • 2.Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+ Total Bases
  • 3.Jackson Merrill: 2+ Total Bases

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers significant value due to a substantial edge against fair odds.

  • Value: The boosted odds of +900 present a substantial 369.48% edge over the combined devigged fair odds of +113 for the parlay.
  • Market context: The boost from +775 to +900 provides a 14.3% increase from the original price, far exceeding the combined market consensus of +105 for the individual San Diego Padres money line leg.
  • Status: Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jackson Merrill are both active.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, which inherently carries multi-leg parlay variance.
  • Recommendation: Standard.