Alexander Zverev to win, Over 9.5 games in the first 3 sets, & Zverev to have 5+ aces
Grade C · Fair
Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 63/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.
Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.
Edge vs devigged fair price
Compares to best alt book
Similar boosts performance
Higher = lower variance
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Alexander Zverev to win, Over 9.5 games in the first 3 sets, & Zverev to have 5+ aces
"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."
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The numbers
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Legs
- 1.Alexander Zverev will win the Match
- 2.Over 9.5 Games in Set 1
- 3.Over 9.5 Games in Set 2
- 4.Over 9.5 Games in Set 3
- 5.5+ Aces for Alexander Zverev
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers a statistically significant edge by packaging an Alexander Zverev win with several specific in-match outcomes.
- Value: The +10.82% positive expected value demonstrates a real mathematical edge over the market's fair price.
- Market context: The boosted +750 price offers a notable improvement over both the original +650 odds and the devigged fair odds of +667.
- Status: No notable injury signal.
- Risk: High variance is inherent in a five-leg parlay. This bet requires not just a Zverev win, but a competitive one where the first three sets all go to at least 10 games, which is a very specific outcome.
- Recommendation: Small.