ALEXANDER THE GREAT: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
Grade C · Fair
Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 63/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.
Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.
Edge vs devigged fair price
Compares to best alt book
Similar boosts performance
Higher = lower variance
Reddit sentiment (soft)
ALEXANDER THE GREAT: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."
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The numbers
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Legs
- 1.Alexander Zverev will win the Match
- 2.Over 9.5 Games in Set 1
- 3.Over 9.5 Games in Set 2
AI breakdown
Verdict: This is a mathematically sound boost, offering a solid double-digit edge over the estimated fair odds.
- Value: The calculated 10.82% positive expected value (EV) represents a real pricing advantage.
- Market context: The boosted +750 price offers a clear improvement on the original +650 line and sits well above the devigged fair price of +667.
- Status: No notable injury signal is present.
- Risk: As a three-leg parlay, all components must hit. The risk is concentrated in needing two separate sets to go over 9.5 games, adding significant variance beyond a simple win for Alexander Zverev.
- Recommendation: Standard