Longshot — fun stake only
Wild ticket — books don't price something this specific, so we can't confirm true edge. Bet it for the story, not the ROI.
Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.
Verdict: This 7-leg MLB home run parlay offers a significant edge over fair odds.
Smart insight: The value of this bet is overwhelmingly driven by the discrepancy between the offered price and the fair odds on a high-payout parlay. Similar profile: This is a long-shot, multi-leg parlay of player prop outcomes, typically characterized by high variance and low hit rates but with potential for massive payouts when priced inefficiently. Counter-case: The statistical improbability of seven individual home run props hitting in a single night is extremely high, despite the price advantage. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.
Recommendation: Small
Grade D · 61/100 · Lottery Ticket
7 leg parlay at +23606858 on FanDuel (7 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+0.0%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.
We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.
Yes. D (61/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.
Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an D-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.