All analyses
Verdict: Lottery Ticket. Rating 64 out of 100. Grade C.
Ai
AiOddsLab
Bet365
Lottery TicketBalancedC

Longshot — fun stake only

6 leg Same Game Parlay+

Bet builder this specific has hidden correlation juice baked in. Fun ticket, not an investment.

Stake idea · Balanced
0.25u · Small
Coin flip on price. Bet it for the action, not the edge.
Your odds
+11650
Fair odds
+10800
Edge
Price bump+30%
Ai

Settle the debate

Save as image
Send link

Inside angles

Researching…
Pulling weather, lineups, head-to-head, and schedule spots…

Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.

AI breakdown

Verdict: This is an interesting longshot parlay with a positive edge against fair odds!

  • Market context: the matchup getting a significant price lift of 29.7% on this bet compared to the original price of +8961.
  • Status: the matchup no notable injury signal for any of the players involved.
  • Social: the matchup data from Reddit to draw conclusions.
  • Risk: This is a 6-leg parlay, so multi-leg parlay variance is definitely in play here.

Smart insight: the matchup the long odds, each player's ability to hit two shots on target moves the probability needle significantly. Similar profile: Longshot multi-leg player prop parlays like this tend to have high variance, but can offer substantial payouts when they hit. Counter-case: The biggest challenge here is simply hitting all six individual player props, as getting two or more shots on target for any single player can be hit-or-miss. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off. Stake suggestion: the matchup stake.

How this bet was graded

Grade C · 64/100 · Lottery Ticket

6 leg Same Game Parlay+ at +11650 on Bet365 (6 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+29.7%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.

Frequently asked questions

Why isn't an edge % shown?

We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.

Does the grade still mean something?

Yes. C (64/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.

Should I bet every A-grade ticket?

Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an C-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.