6 leg Same Game Parlay+
Grade D · Poor
About 0.0% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 43/100).
You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read.
Edge vs devigged fair price
Compares to best alt book
Similar boosts performance
Higher = lower variance
Reddit sentiment (soft)
6 leg Same Game Parlay+
"You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read."
One tap → high-res, watermarked PNG sized for the feed.
Settle the debate
Send this card to the group chat or post it for a sanity check — see who actually agrees with the read.
The numbers
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Legs
- 1.Uruguay MONEYLINE (3-WAY)
- 2.Rodrigo Zalazar PLAYER TO HAVE 2 OR MORE SHOTS ON TARGET
- 3.Salem Al Dawsari PLAYER TO HAVE 1 OR MORE SHOTS ON TARGET
- 4.Iran MONEYLINE (3-WAY)
- 5.Mehdi Taremi PLAYER TO HAVE 2 OR MORE SHOTS ON TARGET
- 6.Elijah Just PLAYER TO HAVE 1 OR MORE SHOTS ON TARGET
AI breakdown
Verdict: This 6-leg parlay, boosted to +5377, presents a significant longshot with considerable multi-leg parlay variance.
- Value: With no original odds or market consensus provided, the true value versus a fair price cannot be assessed.
- Market context: No comparative odds are available for individual legs or the combined parlay.
- Status: the matchup is no notable injury signal for any listed players.
- Social: the matchup data is available to gauge social sentiment.
- Risk: 6-leg parlay variance. With 6 independent conditions required, hit rate compounds quickly and one miss voids the ticket. No verifiable correlation signal from the inputs provided.
Smart insight: The outcomes of multiple moneyline legs and several player-specific shot-on-target props introduce significant correlation risk which is not clear in this market context. Similar profile: the matchup player prop and moneyline parlays in soccer often resolve below implied probability due to cumulative variance and potential correlation. Counter-case: The high number of legs and the lack of an original price make assessing real value or intrinsic risk extremely difficult. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off for all teams involved.
Recommendation: Pass.