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CCoin flip· Strong Value

50% WINNINGS BOOST

Grade C · Fair

Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 52/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.

Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.

Solid Value Big Bump
Value
57

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
56

Compares to best alt book

Historical
50

Similar boosts performance

Safety
33

Higher = lower variance

Social
54

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
52/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value

50% WINNINGS BOOST

"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."

Boosted
+173
Edge
+5.4%
Boost
+27%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "50% WINNINGS BOOST" (Bet365) 52/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/50-winnings-boost-fr8kiu

The numbers

Boosted odds+173
Original odds+115
Market consensus+115
Devigged fair+159
Implied probability36.6%
Fair probability38.6%
Boost % gained+27.0%
Expected ROI+5.41%
Edge vs fair+5.41%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Niko Sigur: 2+ Tackles
Leg 2unmatched
Amar Dedic: 1+ Fouls Committed
Leg 3unmatched
Over 0 Goals
Bet365 (boosted)+173
Combined consensus+115
Combined fair (devigged)+159

Legs

  • 1.Niko Sigur: 2+ Tackles
  • 2.Amar Dedic: 1+ Fouls Committed
  • 3.Over 0 Goals

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers a slight edge over fair odds, driven by the boost percentage applied to the original parlay price.

  • Value: The 5.41% EV indicates a small but real edge, making it more than just a marketing gimmick.
  • Market context: The boosted price of +173 significantly surpasses the devigged fair odds of +159 and the original odds of +115.
  • Status: There is no notable injury signal for either player.
  • Social: Insufficient data to assess social sentiment.
  • Risk: This is a three-leg parlay, increasing variance compared to single-leg bets.
  • Recommendation: Small.