All analyses
Verdict: Lottery Ticket. Rating 68 out of 100. Grade B.
Ai
AiOddsLab
FanDuel
Lottery TicketBalancedB

Longshot — fun stake only

5 leg parlay

Interesting ticket, but we can't confirm a true price edge. Treat it as entertainment, not investment.

Stake idea · Balanced
0.5u · Half
Reasonable spot — half a unit keeps it fun.
Your odds
+183860
Fair odds
+99900
Edge
Ai

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Inside angles

Researching…
Pulling weather, lineups, head-to-head, and schedule spots…

Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.

AI breakdown

Verdict: This is a truly ambitious single-game parlay for some home run fireworks!

  • Value: With no comparable market consensus, the value here is in the sheer price offered for a combination of five individual home run props.
  • Market context: the matchup leg is a longshot on its own, and the offered price reflects the extraordinary odds of them all hitting.
  • Status: the matchup players in your parlay are active, which is great news.
  • Social: the matchup isn't enough social chatter to gauge public sentiment on this specific parlay.
  • Risk: This is a 5-leg parlay with extremely long odds, meaning significant multi-leg parlay variance.

Smart insight: The outcome of any single one of these home run legs has a massive impact on whether this bet cashes. Similar profile: Longshot multi-leg HR parlays like this are entertainment plays in MLB; they rarely resolve vs fair but offer potential for a huge return. Counter-case: The biggest thing working against this bet is the extremely low probability that five different players hit a home run in the same game. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.

Stake suggestion: the matchup.

How this bet was graded

Grade B · 68/100 · Lottery Ticket

5 leg parlay at +183860 on FanDuel (5 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+0.0%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.

Frequently asked questions

Why isn't an edge % shown?

We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.

Does the grade still mean something?

Yes. B (68/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.

Should I bet every A-grade ticket?

Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an B-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.