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41AiOddsLab
DProbably skip· Overpriced

4-pick soccer parlay with Uruguay moneyline and team total goals, and Iran moneyline and team total goals

Grade D · Poor

About 0.0% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 41/100).

You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read.

4-Leg Stack
Value
50

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
43

Compares to best alt book

Historical
40

Similar boosts performance

Safety
18

Higher = lower variance

Social
41

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
DraftKings
41/100
PROBABLY SKIPOverpriced

4-pick soccer parlay with Uruguay moneyline and team total goals, and Iran moneyline and team total goals

"You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read."

Your Odds
+308
Edge
+0.0%
Price Bump
+0%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "4-pick soccer parlay with Uruguay moneyline and team total goals, and Iran mo…" (DraftKings) 41/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/4-pick-soccer-parlay-with-uruguay-moneyline-and-team-total-g-iuom4t

The numbers

Boosted odds+308
Implied probability24.5%
Fair probability24.5%
Boost % gained+0.0%
Expected ROI+0.00%
Edge vs fair+0.00%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Incomplete Market Context
Cannot calculate true EV due to unmatched custom prop legs. Standard book baseline applies. Edge frozen at 0.0%.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Uruguay moneyline
Leg 2unmatched
Uruguay over 1.5 team total goals
Leg 3unmatched
Iran moneyline
Leg 4unmatched
Iran over 1.5 team total goals
DraftKings (boosted)+308

Legs

  • 1.Uruguay moneyline
  • 2.Uruguay over 1.5 team total goals
  • 3.Iran moneyline
  • 4.Iran over 1.5 team total goals

AI breakdown

Verdict: This 4-leg soccer parlay boost presents as a marketing play rather than significant value.

  • Value: With an AiOddsLab the matchup of 41/100 and 0.00% edge vs. fair, this boost shows no statistical value.
  • Market context: The absence of original odds or fair odds makes a precise comparison impossible, but the offered boost price doesn't indicate an advantage.
  • Status: the matchup is no notable injury signal.
  • Social: Reddit pulse data is insufficient to draw conclusions.
  • Risk: This is a 4-leg parlay, inherently carrying high multi-leg parlay variance for both moneyline and team total outcomes.

Smart insight: The simultaneous requirement for both teams to win and score multiple goals significantly increases the combined difficulty of this bet. Similar profile: This is a 4-leg soccer parlay combining moneyline and team totals, a profile that frequently struggles to offer true value due to correlated outcomes. Counter-case: The primary reason to fade is the inherent high variance of a 4-leg parlay with no clear statistical edge demonstrated. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.

Recommendation: Pass.