All analyses
38AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Overpriced
30% PROFIT BOOST
Grade F · Avoid
Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 38/100 with 0.9% off fair. Sportsbook special.
You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read.
Value
29
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
48
Compares to best alt book
Historical
54
Similar boosts performance
Safety
31
Higher = lower variance
Social
53
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
38/100
PROBABLY SKIPOverpriced
30% PROFIT BOOST
"You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read."
Your Odds
+228
Edge
-0.9%
Price Bump
+19%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+228
Original odds+175
Market consensus+175
Devigged fair+231
Implied probability30.5%
Fair probability30.2%
Boost % gained+19.3%
Expected ROI-0.91%
Edge vs fair-0.91%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Partial: 1/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1fair -143
Money Line - CAR Hurricanes
consensus -156 · 11 books · h2h
Leg 2unmatched
Seth Jarvis: 1+ Points
Leg 3unmatched
Seth Jarvis: 2+ Shots on Goal
Bet365 (boosted)+228
Combined consensus+175
Combined fair (devigged)+231
Player status
From ESPN injury feed.
- ACTIVESeth Jarvis · CAR Hurricanes
- ACTIVESeth Jarvis · CAR Hurricanes
Legs
- 1.Money Line - CAR Hurricanes
- 2.Seth Jarvis: 1+ Points
- 3.Seth Jarvis: 2+ Shots on Goal
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value despite the profit boost.
- Value: The boosted odds of +228 are worse than the calculated fair odds of +231, indicating a negative edge of -0.91%.
- Market context: The original odds of +175 were significantly lower than the combined devigged fair odds, highlighting the poor value even before the boost.
- Status: Seth Jarvis is active for the CAR Hurricanes.
- Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, a format with inherent variance.
- Recommendation: Pass.