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47AiOddsLab
DCoin flip· Strong Value

3 Pick Parlay

Grade D · Poor

About 3.4% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 47/100).

Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.

Solid Value Big Bump
Value
55

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
41

Compares to best alt book

Historical
46

Similar boosts performance

Safety
32

Higher = lower variance

Social
53

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
DraftKings
47/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value

3 Pick Parlay

"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."

Your Odds
+143
Edge
+3.4%
Price Bump
+24%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "3 Pick Parlay" (DraftKings) 47/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/3-pick-parlay-kyly2w

The numbers

Boosted odds+143
Original odds-105
Market consensus-105
Devigged fair+135
Implied probability41.2%
Fair probability42.6%
Boost % gained+24.5%
Expected ROI+3.40%
Edge vs fair+3.40%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Andrei Svechnikov 2+ Shots on Goal
Leg 2unmatched
Nikolaj Ehlers 2+ Shots on Goal
Leg 3unmatched
Jack Eichel 2+ Shots on Goal
DraftKings (boosted)+143
Combined consensus-105
Combined fair (devigged)+135

Player status

From ESPN injury feed.

  • ACTIVE
    Andrei Svechnikov · CAR
  • ACTIVE
    Nikolaj Ehlers
  • ACTIVE
    Jack Eichel · VGK

Legs

  • 1.Andrei Svechnikov 2+ Shots on Goal
  • 2.Nikolaj Ehlers 2+ Shots on Goal
  • 3.Jack Eichel 2+ Shots on Goal

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers a slight edge over fair odds for a multi-leg parlay of shots on goal.

  • Value: The boosted odds of +143 present a 3.40% expected value compared to the devigged fair odds of +135.
  • Market context: The boost moves the line significantly from the original -105, offering better value than the consensus.
  • Status: All players involved in the parlay are active.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, inherently increasing variance.
  • Recommendation: Small.