Longshot — fun stake only
No market exists to compare this against, so the "edge" is a vibe. Fun stake if you love the angle.
Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.
Verdict: This three-leg anytime goalscorer parlay offers a compelling longshot opportunity given its positive expected value.
Smart insight: The EV of this bet is most sensitive to the true probabilities of each player scoring, especially Neil El Aynaoui, as he is often the longest shot in these combinations. Similar profile: This is a classic longshot 3-leg parlay of anytime goal scorers, typically characterized by high variance and infrequent payouts at high odds. Counter-case: The primary risk is the inherent unlikelihood of all three independent longshot events occurring simultaneously, regardless of the offered price. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.
Recommendation: Standard
Grade B · 71/100 · Lottery Ticket
3 leg parlay: Jonathan David, Scott McTominay, Neil El Aynaoui Anytime Goalscorer at +11649 on FanDuel (3 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+29.7%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.
We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.
Yes. B (71/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.
Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an B-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.