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DProbably skip· Fair Price

25% WINNINGS BOOST

Grade D · Poor

About 1.7% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 40/100).

Slightly better than the market average. A defensible bet — not a screaming edge.

Big Bump
Value
43

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
50

Compares to best alt book

Historical
49

Similar boosts performance

Safety
8

Higher = lower variance

Social
50

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
40/100
PROBABLY SKIPFair Price

25% WINNINGS BOOST

"Slightly better than the market average. A defensible bet — not a screaming edge."

Your Odds
+1000
Edge
+1.7%
Price Bump
+22%
AiOddsLab.com
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "25% WINNINGS BOOST" (Bet365) 40/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/25-winnings-boost-20jj9c

The numbers

Boosted odds+1000
Original odds+800
Market consensus+800
Devigged fair+982
Implied probability9.1%
Fair probability9.2%
Boost % gained+22.2%
Expected ROI+1.66%
Edge vs fair+1.66%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Seung-Ho Paik: 1+ Fouls Committed
Leg 2unmatched
Robin Hranac: 2+ Fouls Committed
Leg 3unmatched
Michal Sadilek: 2+ Fouls Committed
Bet365 (boosted)+1000
Combined consensus+800
Combined fair (devigged)+982

Legs

  • 1.Seung-Ho Paik: 1+ Fouls Committed
  • 2.Robin Hranac: 2+ Fouls Committed
  • 3.Michal Sadilek: 2+ Fouls Committed

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers a slight edge over the calculated fair odds.

  • Value: The boosted odds of +1000 present a 1.66% edge compared to the devigged fair odds of +982.
  • Market context: The boost converts the original +800 odds to +1000, representing a 22.2% increase against the original line.
  • Status: There is no notable injury signal for Seung-Ho Paik, Robin Hranac, or Michal Sadilek.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, inherently carrying multi-leg parlay variance.
  • Recommendation: Standard.